{"id":10638,"date":"2026-07-17T19:56:26","date_gmt":"2026-07-18T01:56:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/?p=10638"},"modified":"2026-07-17T19:56:34","modified_gmt":"2026-07-18T01:56:34","slug":"va-la-tercera-ronda-de-negociacion-del-t-mec-moises-bailon-jimenez","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/17\/va-la-tercera-ronda-de-negociacion-del-t-mec-moises-bailon-jimenez\/","title":{"rendered":"Va la tercera ronda de negociaci\u00f3n del T-MEC\/ Mois\u00e9s Bail\u00f3n Jim\u00e9nez"},"content":{"rendered":"

La pr\u00f3xima semana, a partir del 20 de julio ser\u00e1 de intensas negociaciones entre los tres socios comerciales (M\u00e9xico, Estados Unidos y <\/span>Canad\u00e1<\/span>) en la Ciudad de M\u00e9xico<\/span>,<\/span> para dar pie a la parte final del TMEC.<\/span><\/p>\n

Las disposiciones actuales del Tratado garantizan hasta 2036 su vigencia y lo que se plantea por parte de los socios estadounidenses es una revisi\u00f3n anual que permite ajustar ciertos patrones de comportamiento comercial<\/span>,<\/span> que para ellos resulta importante evaluar.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lo anterior, no es una limitativa para continuar con el acuerdo comercial entre los tres pa\u00edses y se considera m\u00e1s una medida punitiva de la actual administraci\u00f3n <\/span>republicana <\/span>de cara a las elecciones en aquel pa\u00eds.<\/span><\/p>\n

Y es que un punto fundamental en la renegociaci\u00f3n ha sido la disminuci\u00f3n a los aranceles impuestos a productos de origen mexicano. La medida tiene muy contentos a los productores estadounidenses de los estados productores de <\/span>veh\u00edculos, <\/span>autopartes, electrodom\u00e9sticos, entre otros, pero<\/span> no<\/span> han logrado disminuir el d\u00e9ficit comercial que permanece pese al incremento arancelario. <\/span><\/p>\n

Los costos reales de los aranceles los est\u00e1 pagando el <\/span>consumidor estadounidense, quienes a pesar de los incrementos les resulta m\u00e1s atractivo importar insumos mexicanos que producirlos. Dif\u00edcilmente la econom\u00eda estadounidense va poder competir con la mano de obra calificada de nuestro pa\u00eds o mejorar la calidad del tomate, aguacate, lim\u00f3n o <\/span>berries<\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Esa parte les causa mucho ruido a la administraci\u00f3n <\/span>Trump<\/span>. Pero llegar\u00e1n hasta el \u00faltimo d\u00eda para encarecer<\/span> su estrategia<\/span>. Por su parte<\/span>,<\/span> la iniciativa privada ha mostrado preocupaci\u00f3n ante una postura que implique una negociaci\u00f3n anual del Tratado comercial.<\/span><\/p>\n

La l\u00f3gica del \u00a0tratado es establecer mecanismos que garanticen la durabilidad de reglas para el intercambio comercial y una negociaci\u00f3n anual, disminuye los incentivos para invertir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Es verdad, la pr\u00f3xima semana hay mucho en juego para la econom\u00eda mexicana y muchos cr\u00edticos han puesto sobre la <\/span>mesa, la c<\/span>omplejidad de sacar adelante este acuerdo. La ventaja, M\u00e9xico tiene un gran potencial para que a pesar de que sea impuesta una negociaci\u00f3n anual, pueda seguir siendo competitivo<\/span> y atractivo a la inversi\u00f3n<\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n

La colindancia<\/span> o <\/span>nearshoring<\/span>, el dinamismo de<\/span> nuestra<\/span> econom\u00eda, <\/span>la capacidad t\u00e9cnica operativa, los precios competitivos y la mano de obra calificada, nos vuelve imprescindibles para el desarrollo comercial de nuestros vecinos del norte.<\/span><\/p>\n

La simbiosis, no solamente en temas comerciales, sino de seguridad, energ\u00eda y financiera existente nos hace \u00fanicos, incluso frente a Canad\u00e1. Tratar de limitar u obstaculizar la fluidez econ\u00f3mica con la cual los tres pa\u00edses han venido trabajando de manera conjunta, sin duda, ser\u00e1 un grave error innecesario y costoso pol\u00edticamente, en mayor parte, para la econom\u00eda estadounidense.<\/span><\/p>\n

No hay duda,<\/span> el secretario Marcelo Ebrard tendr\u00e1 mucho \u00e9xito, en este reto comercial.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mois\u00e9s Bail\u00f3n Ji<\/span><\/a>m\u00e9nez es Maestro en Derecho Procesal y Electoral por la Benem\u00e9rita Universidad de Oaxaca.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La pr\u00f3xima semana, a partir del 20 de julio ser\u00e1 de intensas negociaciones entre los tres socios comerciales (M\u00e9xico, Estados […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10639,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10638","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-principales"],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pfR71O-2LA","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62.png","rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62.png",1672,941,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62.png",1672,941,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62.png",1672,941,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62-150x150.png",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62-300x169.png",300,169,true],"large":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62-1024x576.png",1024,576,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62-1536x864.png",1536,864,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62.png",1672,941,false],"ultp_layout_landscape_large":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62-1200x800.png",1200,800,true],"ultp_layout_landscape":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62-870x570.png",870,570,true],"ultp_layout_portrait":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62-600x900.png",600,900,true],"ultp_layout_square":["https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11B28725-EF6E-4065-B135-141493F1BF62-600x600.png",600,600,true]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"aguilasalporvenir.com","author_link":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/author\/orchid-dove-833587-hostingersite-com\/"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Principales<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"La pr\u00f3xima semana, a partir del 20 de julio ser\u00e1 de intensas negociaciones entre los tres socios comerciales (M\u00e9xico, Estados […]","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10638","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10638"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10638\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10641,"href":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10638\/revisions\/10641"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10638"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10638"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aguilasalporvenir.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10638"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}